Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 340.055403 385.019651 434.746340 493.997900 562.907070 640.794798 735.881515
2025-11-30 273.025885 332.224170 403.477007 496.282570 615.025845 763.291073 964.674693
2025-12-07 231.342708 294.931669 375.824321 487.641907 640.349002 844.767002 1144.529870
2025-12-14 203.955445 269.851236 357.487270 484.647895 667.953565 928.175364 1335.804678
2025-12-21 178.030491 242.648671 331.714606 466.163630 668.827308 971.053622 1471.912840
2025-12-28 167.384815 234.852558 331.171696 482.397997 720.824422 1094.692071 1751.525517
2026-01-04 159.184732 229.341713 332.784377 501.230358 778.251834 1233.906401 2080.953250
2026-01-11 148.239925 218.447868 324.865716 503.711532 808.886443 1332.531896 2356.648681
2026-01-18 136.142864 204.543289 310.719047 494.117841 817.349568 1393.166418 2571.869946
2026-01-25 125.668840 192.190695 297.739588 484.754247 824.489713 1451.537530 2792.390445
2026-02-01 120.629663 188.045072 297.576357 497.098934 871.808371 1591.131276 3206.648402
2026-02-08 113.402652 179.664970 289.513348 494.418134 890.442979 1677.196680 3522.437025
2026-02-15 106.013560 170.606521 279.799078 488.252145 902.671116 1754.457830 3841.153627
2026-02-22 100.637649 164.572148 274.843696 490.463752 931.943603 1872.445527 4285.999692
2026-03-01 94.193779 156.159318 264.890973 481.943710 937.881756 1940.189700 4620.645713
2026-03-08 89.146873 149.830353 258.166778 478.990372 955.069457 2035.888759 5052.527150
2026-03-15 82.512404 140.175560 244.525558 460.757231 936.669171 2045.319418 5248.569678
2026-03-22 80.807375 139.387314 247.464799 476.771135 996.729876 2254.271126 6077.596005
2026-03-29 79.475056 139.172709 251.446508 495.346196 1065.262113 2497.262681 7086.183121
2026-04-05 76.376178 135.390426 248.123501 497.793349 1095.806343 2646.853122 7842.543035
2026-04-12 72.227705 129.319466 239.780463 488.331048 1095.971260 2714.231722 8341.478758
2026-04-19 68.412275 123.660571 231.868911 479.095284 1095.577596 2780.224024 8857.694654
2026-04-26 66.972690 122.580239 233.256040 491.271359 1151.809215 3020.245561 10105.405901